Emanani Ema-laptop Ngeke Ehle Masinyane: Shintja Ema-PC Enkampani Yakho Ngekulandzela Kubaluleka, Hhayi Onkhe Ngesikhatsi Sinye

Imphendvulo lemfisha: Mhla tingu-8 Imphala 2026, i-IDC yabika kutsi kutfunyelwa kwema-PC emhlabeni wonkhe kwehla nga-20.1% ekoteni yesitsatfu kwaba tigidzi letingu-62.7 temayunithi, futsi yatsi emanani atawuhlala aphakeme kakhulu kunalawa abekhona emnyakeni lowendlulile, noma kungavela emaphromoshini lasheshe aphele ngesikhatsi bahwebi bacedza sitokwe sabo. Lesizatfu kutsi labakhicita imemori babeka ema-server e-AI embili kwemishini yemahhovisi. Ngako ungalindzi kutsi emanani ehle kute uvuselele onkhe emadivayisi enkampani yakho ngesikhatsi sinye: shintja nyalo loko lokulahlekelwe lusekelo lwekuphepha nobe lokubambezela umsebenti, sebentisa emaphromoshini alekota, bese usabalalisa lokusele kulicebo leligaba ngeligaba. Nangabe usasebentisa imishini ye-Windows 10, fundza loku kanye nendzatjana yetfu lemayelana nekuphela kwelusekelo lwe-Windows 10 kuma-PC emabhizinisi.

Tinombolo tekota yesitsatfu titsini?

Ngekusho kwemininingwane yekucala ye-IDC, umhlaba watfumela ema-PC lafika etigidzini letingu-62.7, kufaka ekhatsi ema-desktop, ema-notebook nema-workstation, ekoteni yesitsatfu ya-2026, uma kucatsaniswa netigidzi letingu-78.5 ekoteni lefanako ya-2025. Loku kwehla kwesibili kulandzelana, futsi kujulile kakhulu kunekwehla kwa-3.8% ekoteni yesibili. Lokumangalisa kakhulu kutsi kutfunyelwa kwehla nga-9.1% uma kucatsaniswa nekota yesibili, noma ikota yesitsatfu ivamise kuba nkhulu ngenca yesikhatsi sekubuyela esikolweni.

Inchazelo ye-IDC kutsi labakhicitako kanye nebasabalalisi batsenga kakhulu engxenyeni yekucala yemnyaka kute bandvulele kwenyuka kwemanani lokubangelwa yimemori lebebakulindzele, ngako basebentisa kusenesikhatsi sidzingo sengxenye yesibili. Kulahlekelwa akuzange kwabelwane ngalokulinganako:

Labatsatfu labaphambili bonkhe behla ngekushesha kunemakethe, futsi ndzawonye balahlekelwa ngemaphoyinti langu-4.2 esabelweni semakethe.

Kungani emanani ema-laptop angehli nangabe kutsengisa kubutsakatsaka?

Umtsetfo lovamile kutsi sidzingo lesibutsakatsaka sehlisa emanani, kepha inkinga lapha ngulokubitako, hhayi sidzingo. Labakhicita imemori batfumela licoshana lelikhulu lemandla abo lasetulu kuma-server e-AI ngoba aletsa inzuzo lenkhulu, futsi loku kwenta imemori kanye nesitoreji sema-PC lavamile kungatfolakali kalula futsi kubite kakhulu. Mhla tingu-30 Inyoni 2026, i-TrendForce yabikezela kutsi emanani etivumelwano te-DRAM levamile atawukhuphuka nga-10% kuya ku-15% ekoteni yesine uma kucatsaniswa neyesitsatfu, kantsi emanani esitoreji se-NAND flash nga-15% kuya ku-20%.

I-TrendForce yatsi labakhicita ema-PC basatsenga imemori ngemandla ngoba balindzele kutsi kutfolakala kutawuhlala kulukhuni nga-2027, nekutsi kutfolakala kwe-DRAM yema-PC kungehla nga-2027 njengoba emandla lamanyenti asiwa kuma-server. Ngakulolunye luhlangotsi, i-IDC yatsi kukhatsateka kwebahwebi ngesitokwe lesinyenti kungaletsa emaphromoshini kanye nekukhululeka lokutsite kwesikhashana, kepha ayilindzeli emanani lasondzele kulawa anyaka lowendlulile, futsi yecwayisa kutsi umnotfo lobutsakatsaka ungenta simo sibe sibi kakhulu ngaphambi kwekutsi sibe ncono.

Kunemininingwane yinye lebalulekile nawucatsanisa emakhotheshini: i-TrendForce yaphawula kutsi ema-brand ema-PC anciphisa umtsamo we-SSD kuma-model lavamile kute ehlise tindleko tetincenye. Umshini ungatsengiswa ngelinani lelisondzele kulelidzala, kepha unesitoreji lesincane kune-model lowayitsenga nyakenyana.

Yini lokufanele uyishintje nyalo, futsi yini lengalindza?

• Emadivayisi langasatfoli tibuyeketo tekuphepha: umshini we-Windows 10 longakabhaliswa ehlelweni lweTibuyeketo Tekuphepha Letengetiwe usengotini kusukela lusekelo luphela mhla tingu-14 Imphala 2025. Loku kubaluleka longeke ukubeke eceleni, ngoba idivayisi yinye lesengotini ingaba yindlela yekungena kulo lonkhe linethiwekhi yenkampani.
• Emadivayisi labambezela umsebenti: umshini wemkhatsi-mali, wemcwaningimabhuku nobe wemmeli wekutsengisa lomile nobe lohamba kancane kakhulu ohlelweni lwakho lolukhulu ukulahlekisela sikhatsi kanye nemakhasimende onkhe emalanga.
• Emadivayisi lasebenta kahle futsi asatfola tibuyeketo: imishini lesetjentiselwa umsebenti lolula wasehhovisi ingalindza. Yelule imphilo yayo ngekuyinakekela, luhlelo lolusha lwekusebenta kanye nebhetri lensha, futsi ucatsanise intsengo yekwengeta imemori nobe sitoreji nentsengo yedivayisi lensha ngaphambi kwekutsi utsatse sincumo, ngoba tincenye temamemori tona ngokwato setibita kakhulu.
• Imishini yetisebenti letisha: ngaphambi kwekutsenga idivayisi lensha yaso sonkhe sisebenti lesisha, hlola imishini lengasetjentiswa nobe lebuyiswe tisebenti letishiyile. Iyo kukhetsa lokushibhile lonako kulomnyaka.

Windows 10: welule lusekelo nobe utsenge i-PC lensha?

Luhlelo lwe-Microsoft lweTibuyeketo Tekuphepha Letengetiwe lwe-Windows 10 lubita tinhlangano emadola laseMelika langu-61 edivayisini ngayinye emnyakeni wekucala, futsi intsengo iphindvwa kabili minyaka yonkhe isikhatsi lesingengci iminyaka lemitsatfu: emadola langu-122 emnyakeni wesibili kantsi emadola langu-244 emnyakeni wesitsatfu. Ngelizinga lelisemtsetfweni lemariyali langu-3.75 edoleni, umnyaka wesibili ufika ngemariyali langaba ngu-457.5 edivayisini ngayinye. Iminyaka iyahlanganiswa: nangabe weciphe umnyaka wekucala bese ufuna wesibili, ukhokhela yomibili, lokungemadola langu-183 nobe emariyali langaba ngu-686 edivayisini ngayinye.

Lelizibalo liyasita emshinini losebenta kahle kepha longakhoni kufaka i-Windows 11: lomunye umnyaka wetibuyeketo ungabita kancane kunedivayisi lensha ngemanani alomnyaka, futsi ukunika sikhatsi sekulindza emaphromoshini ekucedza sitokwe. Kepha lesisombululo sesikhashana. Intsengo iphindvwa kabili futsi luhlelo luphela ngemuva kwemnyaka wesitsatfu. I-Microsoft iphindze iniketa letibuyeketo kuze kube ngiminyaka lemitsatfu kumadivayisi e-Windows 10 lahlangana nema-Cloud PC e-Windows 365 ngekubhalisa lokusasebenta, lokukhetsa lokufanele ubale tindleko takho nangabe tisebenti takho tisebentisa kakhulu ema-application emahhovisi.

Nema-server futsi: nangabe uhlela i-server lesendzaweni yakho

Ingcindzi inkhulu kakhulu kumemori yema-server. I-TrendForce ilindzele kutsi i-DRAM yema-server itawuchubeka ishoda ekoteni yesine, nekutsi ema-SSD emabhizinisi atawuba ngulona luhlobo lwemamemori lodvwa lokwenyuka kwemanani alo kushesha kakhulu kunekota lendlulile, kantsi sidzingo sema-bit sawo sikhula ngetulu kwa-80% nga-2026 njengoba ema-data centre e-AI andza.

Nangabe inkampani yakho ihlela i-server lesendzaweni yayo kulomnyaka nobe ngemnyaka lotako, cela emakhotheshini kusenesikhatsi lanesikhatsi sekusebenta lesibhaliwe, futsi ucatsanise tindleko tonkhe teminyaka lemitsatfu ne-cloud hosting ngaphambi kwekutsi utsatse sincumo.

Ungatsenga kanjani kulekota ngaphandle kwekukhokha kakhulu?

1. Bala emadivayisi akho: luhlelo lwekusebenta, budzala, kutsi angakhona yini kusebentisa i-Windows 11, nekutsi ngubani lowasebentisako futsi wenta ini ngawo.
2. Wehlukanise abe ngemacembu lamatsatfu: shintja nyalo, shintja etinyangeni leti-6, nobe angalindza.
3. Tfola emakhotheshini elicembu lekucala nyalo kubaphakeli lababili nobe labatsatfu, ngoba i-IDC ilindzele emaphromoshini esikhatsini lesisedvute ngesikhatsi bahwebi bacedza sitokwe.
4. Catsanisa tincazelo temshini, hhayi intsengo kuphela: sitoreji, imemori kanye nebudze besiciniseko, ngoba lamanye ema-model lavamile nyalo atsengiswa anesitoreji lesincane.
5. Yenta emadivayisi abe yincenye lengagucuki yebhajethi ya-2027 esikhundleni sekutsenga lokukhulu kanye, ngoba kute lutfo etibikezelweni te-IDC ne-TrendForce lolukhomba kutsi emanani atawubuya masinyane.

Umbono we-Origami

Sifundza letinombolo njengelupawu lwekutsi tindleko temadivayisi nyalo tihamba nemakethe ye-AI, hhayi netidzingo tenkampani yakho. Imemori lebeyikade iyincenye leshibhile ngekhatsi kwe-PC seyintfo lekuncintiswana ngayo ngema-data centre, futsi itawuhlala injalo nangabe lawo ma-data centre achubeka akhiwa.

Sifundvo lesisebentako emabhizinisini aseSaudi kutsi imphilo yedivayisi nyalo sincumo setimali lokufanele siphatfwe ngelicebo. Tinhlelo letisebenta ku-browser nobe ku-cloud telula imphilo yemadivayisi ngoba tifuna lokuncane emshinini wesisebenti, futsi nasakhela libhizinisi luhlelo, siyaciniseka kutsi lusebenta kahle ku-hardware lesezingeni lelisemkhatsini. Ngetulu kwako konkhe, yati loko lonako ngaphambi kwekutsi utsenge: kubala lokulula lamuhla kukuvikela ekutsengeni imishini longayidzingi ngemanani alomnyaka.

Sigcino

• Kutfunyelwa kwema-PC kwehla nga-20.1% ekoteni yesitsatfu ya-2026 kwaba tigidzi letingu-62.7 temayunithi, futsi i-IDC itsi emanani atawuhlala aphakeme.
• Lesizatfu tindleko temamemori: i-TrendForce ilindzele kutsi tivumelwano te-DRAM tikhuphuke nga-10% kuya ku-15% kantsi i-NAND nga-15% kuya ku-20% ekoteni yesine, nekutfolakala lokulukhuni kuze kube nga-2027.
• Shintja nyalo imishini lesengotini ekuphepheni kanye nemadivayisi labambezela umsebenti, bese uyisa lokusele kulicebo leligaba ngeligaba.
• Umnyaka wesibili wetibuyeketo letengetiwe te-Windows 10 ubita emadola langu-122 edivayisini ngayinye, lokuphindze kube ngemariyali langaba ngu-457.5, futsi iminyaka iyahlanganiswa, ngako kucatsanise nemshini lomusha.
• Catsanisa tincazelo ngaphambi kwentsengo, sebentisa emaphromoshini ekucedza sitokwe alekota, futsi wente emadivayisi abe yincenye yebhajethi yemnyaka ngamunye.

Mitfombo

• IDC: Kutfunyelwa kwema-PC kwehla nga-20.1% nga-Q3 2026 (mhla tingu-8 Imphala 2026) — kutfunyelwa konkhe, ithebula lalabakhicitako kanye nekubuka kwemanani.
• TrendForce: Kubikezela kwemanani etivumelwano temamemori ka-4Q26 (mhla tingu-30 Inyoni 2026) — DRAM, NAND, DRAM yema-server, ema-SSD emabhizinisi kanye nemtsamo we-SSD kuma-model lavamile.
• Microsoft: Luhlelo lweTibuyeketo Tekuphepha Letengetiwe lwe-Windows 10 — emadola langu-61 emnyakeni wekucala, intsengo lephindvwa kabili minyaka yonkhe iminyaka lemitsatfu, iminyaka lehlanganiswako, kanye nekuvikelwa nge-Windows 365.
• Libhange Lelikhulu laseSaudi (SAMA): kutibophelela elizingeni lelisemtsetfweni lemariyali langu-3.75 edoleni
• The Register: Kubikwa kwekwehla kwekutfunyelwa kwema-PC (mhla tingu-9 Imphala 2026)